Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 91%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 22 uur geleden
Verouderd17 mei 25, 02:55 UTC2 jan 27, 01:00 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Standard & Poor's downgraded the U.S. credit rating from 'AAA' to 'AA+' in 2011.
- (en.wikipedia.org) This market resolves to 'Yes' if S&P announces a downgrade of the U.S. credit rating to 'AA' or lower before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from S&P.
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 91 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 569,7K
- 24u volume
- € 47,4K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 359,2K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 79,7K
- 24u volume
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 18,3K
- 24u volume
- € 7,3K
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 91% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Standard & Poor's downgraded the U.S. credit rating from 'AAA' to 'AA+' in 2011.