Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 91.8%
Voorspellers
199
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd18 jan 25, 02:16 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which counts will Luigi Mangione be convicted on?
Manifold MarketsWill Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of
- Except, one year later.
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Luigi Mangione is convicted of murder (any degree) in connection with Brian Thompson's death by a court of law before January 1st, 2027.
- Luigi Mangione pleads guilty to murder charges in connection with Brian Thompson's death before January 1st, 2027.
- The market will resolve NO if:
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
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POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
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- 24u volume
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- Yes5.9%
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KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
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POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
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+3 extra uitkomsten
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
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- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of