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(5) CRIMINAL POSSESSION OF A WEAPON IN THE SECOND DEGREE (possession of loaded firearm outside of home/place of business) 76%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
(5) CRIMINAL POSSESSION OF A WEAPON IN THE SECOND DEGREE (possession of loaded firearm outside of home/place of business) 76%Voorspellers
37
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd18 dec 24, 23:49 UTC1 jan 27, 06:59 UTC
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Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsRegels
Each answer will resolve independently based on the verdict in Mangione's criminal trial:
- YES if Mangione is found guilty of that specific count, or pleas guilty to that count
- NO if Mangione is found not guilty of that specific count, or if the count is dismissed/dropped before or during trial, or if Mangione dies before a verdict is delivered for that count.
- You can read the indictment for these charges here:
- https://manhattanda.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Mangione-Indictment-FINAL-as-filed.pdf
- If Mangione is charged with additional New York crimes related to the assassination before the full resolution of this market, I will add them.
