Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 96.8%
Voorspellers
36
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd10 dec 24, 19:58 UTC18 dec 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione Pre-Trial Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - Market will resolve either way (N/A or YES/NO) if Luigi Mangione is found not guilty (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - If Luigi Mangione is found not guilty and is alive when sentencing would have occurred, market resolves YES (AI summary of creator comment)
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Totaal volume
- € 347,5K
- 24u volume
- € 27,4K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 497,4K
- 24u volume
- € 12,5K
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 676K
- 24u volume
- € 8,2K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,6K
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Totaal volume
- € 577,2K
- 24u volume
- € 3,7K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced? afgewikkeld?
- Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced? wordt naar verwachting op 18 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - Market will resolve either way (N/A or YES/NO) if Luigi Mangione is found not guilty (AI summary of creator comment)