Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

One-OffWetenschap Weer1j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Ja 90.8%

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden

Verouderd

13 jan 24, 04:00 UTC13 jan 28, 07:59 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gerelateerde Markten

Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?

Manifold Markets

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?

Manifold Markets

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Manifold Markets

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?

Manifold Markets

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Polymarket

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Kalshi

Regels

Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.

For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2027.
For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
[image]Same question but for:

Meld een dataprobleem met deze markt

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Open markten

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 28, 2026?

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

Veelgestelde vragen

Gebruik deze markt in code of in een AI-agent

Open markten

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 28, 2026?

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?