Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 66.5%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd15 apr 24, 16:32 UTC5 mrt 45, 22:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
PolymarketUkraine damages Kremlin with drone or missile before Russia-Ukraine war ends?
Manifold MarketsUS Military drone strike in Mexico before EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a conflict or set of conflicts have become commonly referred to as "The Drone Wars".
- At least one of these conflicts this term refers to must have occurred between January 1st 2020 and December 31st 2029.
- If no such terminology has emerged by January 1st 2045, then this question resolves as NO.
- If there is weak evidence that this term is used, but no strong evidence that it is commonplace, then this question resolves as N/A.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 581,3K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 55,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 96,8K
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 67% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars? afgewikkeld?
- Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars? wordt naar verwachting op 5 maart 2045 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a conflict or set of conflicts have become commonly referred to as "The Drone Wars".