Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 93%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd10 sep 25, 18:17 UTC31 dec 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsWhat is the NEXT country to invoke NATO Article 4?
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FutuurAnother NATO article 4 by which date?
PolymarketRegels
//this market was created AFTER Poland invoked Article 4 in September 2025.
- Poland is excluded for this market.
- Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty states: "The Parties will consult together whenever, in the opinion of any of them, the territorial integrity, political independence or security of any of the Parties is threatened." There are 30 member countries of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), established by the North Atlantic Treaty, the full list of which can be found here: https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm
- If any NATO member country invokes Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between September 10, 2022, and December 31, 2030, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.