Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out?
FedOne-OffAITechEntertainment3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.3%
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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd20 nov 23, 20:48 UTC2 jan 27, 05:59 UTC
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Because the resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I will not be trading in this market.
- Basically trying to answer this as a reasonable person would:
- I'm imagining a movie that looks like a live-action film; cartoons don't count.
- It should clearly depict the story of OpenAI's firing-Sama drama, etc. I think it's okay if the script was written by a human who fed it to a model that produced the movie.
- It would be nice, of course, if the script were mostly generated by an LLM, but that part is doable with the right prompt engineering using current technology, so it shouldn't be part of the resolution criteria.
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KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.1%
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POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt49.5%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.5%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
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- € 543,8K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
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- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
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POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2%
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KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.9pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.6pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
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- € 7,6 mln.
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- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
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- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out? afgewikkeld?
- Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Because the resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I will not be trading in this market.