Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2026 99%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
26
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 20 uur geleden
Verouderd28 okt 23, 16:53 UTC1 jan 31, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Joe Biden live to see the end of the US-Iran war?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
Manifold MarketsWill the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PolymarketRegels
Each of these options resolves either: at the end of the year as NO, or YES if the US is at war with Iran at any point during the year.
- I won't bet.