Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 80%
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd20 mrt 26, 07:38 UTC31 dec 30, 07:34 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?
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Manifold MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Closes at signing of a ceasefire or treaty by both the US and whomever is in charge of Iran by that point, or if Biden kicks the bucket.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Joe Biden live to see the end of the US-Iran war??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 80% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Joe Biden live to see the end of the US-Iran war? afgewikkeld?
- Will Joe Biden live to see the end of the US-Iran war? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Joe Biden live to see the end of the US-Iran war? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Closes at signing of a ceasefire or treaty by both the US and whomever is in charge of Iran by that point, or if Biden kicks the bucket.