Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
PolitiekOne-OffGeopolitiekMiddle EastUS Politics3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 54.9%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
28 feb 26, 16:48 UTC1 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
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Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
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Resolution criteria
- The US and Iran will be considered at war if military hostilities between the two nations are actively occurring on January 1st, 2027.
- This includes direct combat operations, sustained military strikes, or active armed conflict.
- Iran's retaliatory ballistic missile attacks on US military bases and Israel following the February 28, 2026 US and Israeli military strikes on Iran constitute evidence of active warfare.
- The market resolves YES if military operations continue through January 1st, 2027.
- The market resolves NO if a ceasefire, peace agreement, or cessation of hostilities has been established before that date, or if no active military conflict exists on that date.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 55% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria