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Vertraagd28 feb 26, 01:48 UTC1 jan 36, 06:59 UTC
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Recursive self-improvement: a single AI system autonomously identifies modifications to its own training, architecture, or inference pipeline, implements them, and produces measurable capability gains (≥5% on standardized benchmark) — 3 sequential cycles with no human intervention between them.
- Human-designed "improvement menus" don't qualify; the system must identify the type of modification itself.
- Independently verified.
- Full methodology: https://www.future-shock.ai/research/agi-predictions
- Future Shock ensemble prediction: July 2027 (±6 months).
- Also submitted to Metaculus.
