What will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2031?

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+2.0pt95%
• 25 bps increase-2.0pt5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 56,2 mln.

24u volume

€ 1,5 mln.

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike-0.5pt74.3%
• Hike–Pause–Pause-1.0pt20.8%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-0.8pt2%

+6 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+2.5pt76.2%
• No-2.5pt23.8%

Totaal volume

€ 946,4K

24u volume

€ 19,1K

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)+1.5pt72.3%
• 1 (25 bps)22.8%
• 3 (75 bps)-2.0pt5%

+3 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%95.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%97.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

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