What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
EconomieGeopolitiekOne-OffSpaceCorporate ActionsChessSportTechAI3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingThe METR time horizon will exceed 10 hours. 100%Koploper van 96 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
294
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+7.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
19 dec 25, 17:48 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will happen related to the Hantavirus in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?
Manifold MarketsDo the recent deaths/disappearances of NASA, nuclear research, & defense-related scientists suggest something sinister?
Manifold Markets1 month after Anthropic IPO, will their market cap be higher than launch day?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
Manifold MarketsRegels
Please add questions for what will happen in 2026 related to AI! I've added some clarifications below.
- If there is ambiguity I will resolve to my best judgement.
- Clarifications
- "the named outcome": It should be generally available in 2026; i.e. no waitlist.
- Should be an AI product; I’m not counting hats, clothing, etc. "X will outperform the S&P": As measured at the end of the year.
