What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000?
One-OffWetenschapSociety & Culture
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Born in 2030 21.9%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd2 jan 24, 16:47 UTC1 jan 00, 22:59 UTC
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Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.
- They don't have to be basic unmodified humans, but there should be a wide agreement that yeah, that person is still alive in some form.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000??
- Manifold Markets prijst Born in 2030 op 22% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? afgewikkeld?
- What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 3000 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.