Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingPermanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank 61.2%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
41
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd31 okt 23, 16:20 UTC28 dec 26, 21:59 UTC
Trends
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Inspired by Scott:
- https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/mantic-monday-103023
- "I can’t find any markets on the Middle East topic I’m actually interested in, which is Israel’s medium-term plan.
- Will they the named outcome? the named outcome? the named outcome? These all seem like bad options, but they’re very different bad options, and I haven’t seen much speculation about which is most likely."
- Close date may be extended if it seems like the situation hasn't settled down.
- Update 2024-10-12 (PST): The market will resolve as 'Permanently occupy Gaza like they're occupying the West Bank' unless the creator is convinced otherwise.
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
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- December 317%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)??
- Manifold Markets prijst Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank op 61% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? afgewikkeld?
- What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? wordt naar verwachting op 28 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Inspired by Scott: