Was the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolitiekEntertainmentMusicPolitiek4jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 90%
Voorspellers
31
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd22 mrt 24, 19:08 UTC1 mrt 31, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the attack on the Crocus concert hall was organised by the Putin regime / Russian State.
- If there is no evidence supporting this hypothesis before January 1st 2031, then this market resolves as NO.
- If there is weak evidence (but no strong evidence), then this market resolves as N/A.
Open markten
Russia / Ukraine
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 473K
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Was the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 90% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Was the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag? afgewikkeld?
- Was the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Was the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the attack on the Crocus concert hall was organised by the Putin regime / Russian State.