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Play-money forecasting platform
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Vertraagd21 jul 26, 06:46 UTC21 jul 31, 06:42 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Is the Jacobian conjecture true?
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KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegels
Jacobian conjecture - Wikipedia
- The Jacobian conjecture states that for every N>=1, every characteristic 0 field K and every polynomial function F:K^N->K^N, if J_F is a non-zero constant then F has a polynomial inverse G:K^N->K^N. The conjecture was recently shown to be false for all N>2, but the case N=2 is still open.
- This market resolves YES if there is a proof that the conjecture holds for N=2, and NO if there is a proof that the conjecture does not hold for N=2.
- If there is a non-constructive proof that the conjecture is false (but with no explicit counter example), it still resolves NO.
- If this problem turns out to be independent of ZFC it will resolve N/A.
Open markten
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt4%
- September 30-0.3pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 59,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 97,8K
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028+3.0pt15%
- Before 2027-0.4pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 29,6 mln.
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 271K
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.0pt74.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-0.1pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- No+0.1pt97%
- Yes-0.1pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 120K
- 24u volume
- € 1,3K
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes+3.3pt76%
- No24%
- Totaal volume
- € 303,3K
- 24u volume
- € 1,2K
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- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Is the Jacobian conjecture true in two dimensions??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 50% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Is the Jacobian conjecture true in two dimensions? afgewikkeld?
- Is the Jacobian conjecture true in two dimensions? wordt naar verwachting op 21 juli 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Is the Jacobian conjecture true in two dimensions? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Jacobian conjecture - Wikipedia