Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 85%
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd8 sep 22, 06:10 UTC31 dec 99, 12:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
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KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRegels
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birch_and_Swinnerton-Dyer_conjecture
Open markten
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 59,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 176,8K
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-1.1pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 29,5 mln.
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 271K
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No+10.9pt97%
- Yes-10.9pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,2K
- 24u volume
- € 3,9K
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-1.5pt75.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-1.0pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.6pt73%
- No27%
- Totaal volume
- € 302,9K
- 24u volume
- € 2,8K
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Is the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture true??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 85% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Is the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture true? afgewikkeld?
- Is the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture true? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2999 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Is the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture true? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birch_and_Swinnerton-Dyer_conjecture