Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNo change 69.5%+1.4ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+36.2 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
2 sep 26, 15:16 UTC28 okt 26, 18:00 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · No change 66%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 65%
- Ook beschikbaar op Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) · H 0 63%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Fed Decision in October? · No change 66%
Open markten
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,6 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 45,5K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Totaal volume
- € 997K
- 24u volume
- € 41,2K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Fed decision in October??
- Manifold Markets prijst No change op 70% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Fed decision in October? afgewikkeld?
- Fed decision in October? wordt naar verwachting op 28 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Fed decision in October? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.
- Waar wordt Fed decision in October? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Limitless, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket.