Conditional on at least 8 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
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Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 20:15 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
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31
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd11 dec 22, 03:13 UTC1 jan 00, 05:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
The condition is met if we ever cross the threshold, even if global temperatures are later brought below it.
- The resolution criterion is met if world population ever dips below 1 billion for any length of time before 2100.
- Similar markets for various amounts of warming: