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  3. New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?
New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

1.0% (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezingLatin America11mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Gregg Hull, 12-15%
Gregg Hull, 12-15% 3%+1.0%
Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 1,1

Liquiditeit

€ 168,3

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden

2 jun 26, 19:452 jun 27, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Gregg Hull, 12-15%3%

Regels

If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Regels

If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.