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  3. Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

2.7% (24u)One-OffPolitiekUS PoliticsVerkiezing12mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Graham Platner, ≥50%
Graham Platner, ≥50% 99%+2.7%
Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

49 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 172,9

Liquiditeit

€ 1,2K

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

99.0% / 99.3%

Spread

0.3%

Strakke spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

1 apr 26, 17:009 jun 27, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
Graham Platner, 10-20%
Graham Platner, 10-20%
0%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
0%
Janet Mills wins
Janet Mills wins
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

Graham Platner, ≥50%99%

Regels

If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Shenna Bellows wins: 20%KalshiKALSHI

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Regels

If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.