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  3. South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

2.0% (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing12mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Lindsey Graham, 25-30%
Lindsey Graham, 25-30% 99%+2.0%
Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

49 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 66,5

Liquiditeit

€ 351,4

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

98.0% / 99.0%

Spread

1.0%

Strakke spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden

8 jun 26, 17:009 jun 27, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Lindsey Graham, 25-30%99%

Regels

If the margin of victory for Lindsey Graham in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate primary falls within 0% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lindsey Graham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham wins, or the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Regels

If the margin of victory for Lindsey Graham in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate primary falls within 0% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lindsey Graham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham wins, or the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.