Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
1.0% (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing1j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansAbdul El-Sayed, 6-9% 13%+1.0%Koploper van 13 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
73 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 5K
Liquiditeit
€ 72,8K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
40.0%
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 minuten geleden
8 jun 26, 17:304 aug 27, 14:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%13%
Grote trades
$1.8k76.0%KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed, ≥15% — No17 dgn geleden
KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed, ≥15% — No17 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$5.7k2 jul25d aan data26 jul
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KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
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If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.