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  3. Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

14.0% (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing1j
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9% 22%+14.0%
Koploper van 13 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

44 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 106,7

Liquiditeit

€ 108,2

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Gematigde spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

8 jun 26, 17:304 aug 27, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%22%

Regels

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.