Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
21.0% (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing1j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansFrancesca Hong, ≥15% 49%+21.0%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
52 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 13,2K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
36.0% / 42.0%
Spread
16.7%
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 minuten geleden
20 jul 26, 15:4211 aug 27, 14:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Francesca Hong, ≥15%49%
Grote trades
$1.4k95.0%KALSHIDavid Crowley, 3-6% — No4 dgn geleden
KALSHIDavid Crowley, 3-6% — No4 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$1.3k20 jul7d aan data26 jul
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If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses.
- If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.