KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitGeen handelsactiviteit
Gegevens van 5 okt 2026, 06:18 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige impliciete kans
1 or more 0%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
1 or more 0%Marktkwaliteit
24 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest onbekendSpread
66.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
5 okt 26, 00:30 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsMore than 1000 cases of Irkutsk Plague?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
KalshiConfirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia control Irkutsk on Jan 1st 2032?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRegels
If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Rospotrebnadzor
- Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (November 8). Only cases that Rospotrebnadzor, Russia's federal public health agency, confirms after Issuance and before November 1, 2026 count. Cases newly reported during the window between November 1 and Expiration do not count, even if they are backdated to the specified time period. A case is a human infection with Yersinia pestis (plague in any form) in Irkutsk Oblast, including a posthumous confirmation, and each infected person counts once. Suspected cases, and illness described as pneumonia of undetermined etiology, do not count.
Regels per uitkomst
- 1 or more
- If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2 or more
- If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5 or more
- If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.