KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
At least 5 95%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
58 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 348,3
Liquiditeit
€ 5,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
1 sep 26, 18:00 UTC6 okt 26, 12:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketRegels
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:IMF PortWatch
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 25,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 719,6K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 97,8K
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 extra uitkomsten
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)?
- Kalshi prijst At least 5 op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) afgewikkeld?
- Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) wordt naar verwachting op 6 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.