KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 31, 2028 67%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
58 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 90,4
Liquiditeit
€ 143K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
4.3 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
11 feb 26, 01:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsJerome Powell federally charged by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketWIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?
Manifold MarketsWho will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
KalshiRegels
If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:the Federal ReserveThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCofficial government websites relevant to
- An acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office.
- An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency.
- Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes.
- Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal.
Open markten
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 96,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,4 mln.
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 37,4 mln.
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 384,1K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 80,4K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced??
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 31, 2028 op 67% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? afgewikkeld?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.