PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 97%+0.6pt
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 25,9K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
2.6% / 4.1%
Spread
1.5 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
1
7d wijziging
-1.9 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
12 jan 26, 16:44 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiJerome Powell federally charged by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
PolymarketWIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?
Manifold MarketsDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsWill Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markten
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 96,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,4 mln.
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 37,4 mln.
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 384,1K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 80,4K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Jerome Powell in jail before 2027??
- Polymarket prijst No op 97% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.