KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above 1.2% 66%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
62 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,6K
Liquiditeit
€ 2,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
14 sep 26, 19:00 UTC2 nov 26, 14:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsFreddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
KalshiJapan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
PolymarketFed Decision in September?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketFed decision in September?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above
Afwikkeling via:U.S. Department of the Treasury - TreasuryDirect
- 0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The “fixed rate” refers only to the annual fixed-rate component assigned to Series I savings bonds when issued.
- It does not refer to the semiannual inflation rate or the composite interest rate.
- The reported fixed rate will be used without rounding.
- Subsequent revisions or corrections published after the initial official announcement will not be considered
Open markten
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+9.0pt87.3%
- No change-9.0pt11.8%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 145,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 16,5 mln.
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+9.0pt84.5%
- Fed maintains rate-9.0pt12.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 67,6 mln.
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+11.0pt80.5%
- Fed maintains rate-16.0pt14.8%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt2.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change59%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt36.2%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt2.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+2.0pt96%
- Before July 2027+4.0pt95%
- Before 2027+4.0pt92%
- Totaal volume
- € 4,4 mln.
- 24u volume
FORECASTEXWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- No87%
- Yes13%
- Totaal volume
- € 291,4K
- 24u volume
- € 291,4K
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Fed raise the rate 25bps in September 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in September?
- How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor I bond fixed rate in November 2026?
- Kalshi prijst Above 1.2% op 66% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt I bond fixed rate in November 2026 afgewikkeld?
- I bond fixed rate in November 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 2 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt I bond fixed rate in November 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above