KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
September 25 25.3%+12.0ptKoploper van 7 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
69 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 14K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
18 sep 26, 16:30 UTC29 sep 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRegels
If Sep 21, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:IMF PortWatch
- Daily counts will be evaluated from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.
- If Sep 22, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sep 23, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt7%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 27 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 656,7K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 59,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 525,7K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-5.0pt75.3%
- Yes+5.0pt24.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 10,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 410K
POLYMARKETSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- October 31+12.9pt88%
- September 30+26.5pt56%
- September 221%
+1 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.3pt13%
- Save the Children+0.1pt10%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
+28 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029+3.0pt73%
- Before Jul 1, 2028+3.0pt68%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt56%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi prijst September 25 op 25.3% per 23 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27) afgewikkeld?
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27) wordt naar verwachting op 29 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27) afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Sep 21, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.