KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Exactly 2 63.2%-4.4ptKoploper van 13 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
75 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 6,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 62,5K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.9 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
26 feb 26, 15:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the number of rate changes before 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal Reserve
- A ‘rate change’ means a single decision that changes the target range, regardless of size (e.g., a 50 bp hike counts as one).
- A later 50 bp cut counts as an additional rate change.
Open markten
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 5,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Number of Fed rate changes before 2027?
- Kalshi prijst Exactly 2 op 63% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the number of rate changes before 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.