KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before 2040 11%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
35 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 394,4
Lage liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
18 jun 26, 16:06 UTC31 dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which of these franchises will be present at the Universal Studios park Universal United Kingdom at opening?
Manifold MarketsUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill Ye visit The United Kingdom this year?
KalshiWill the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext government of the United Kingdom?
KalshiRegels
If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2032, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:EU
- If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2035, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2040, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the United Kingdom join the EU??
- Kalshi prijst Before 2040 op 11% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the United Kingdom join the EU? afgewikkeld?
- Will the United Kingdom join the EU? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the United Kingdom join the EU? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2032, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes.