KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 98%
Marktkwaliteit
45 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 377,5
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
0.3% / 5.5%
Spread
5.2 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
3 dec 25, 23:30 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US abolishes debt ceiling before 2029?
Manifold MarketsUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketFrance defaults on debt by 2027?
Manifold MarketsBrazil’s public debt-GDP ratio at the end of 2026
FutuurWhat will US federal government debt as a percent of GDP be in 2035?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRegels
If a bill becomes law that abolishes the debt ceiling (rather than just temporarily suspending or increasing it) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Library of Congress
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 541,2K
- 24u volume
- € 30,7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 334,2K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,7K
- 24u volume
- € 10,7K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Totaal volume
- € 612,5K
- 24u volume
- € 6,9K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,3K
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the debt ceiling be abolished??
- Kalshi prijst No op 98% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the debt ceiling be abolished? afgewikkeld?
- Will the debt ceiling be abolished? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the debt ceiling be abolished? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If a bill becomes law that abolishes the debt ceiling (rather than just temporarily suspending or increasing it) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.