KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above -0.40 98%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
58 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 3,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
14 sep 26, 19:00 UTC21 sep 26, 12:24 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
KalshiFed rate decision in October 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Japan Decision in October?
PolymarketUS active housing listings in September
KalshiFed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Canada Decision in December?
PolymarketRegels
If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above
Afwikkeling via:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - CFNAI
- -0.40, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.
- This market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Open markten
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 935,7K
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 8,5 mln.
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August?
- Kalshi prijst Above -0.40 op 98% per 19 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August afgewikkeld?
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August wordt naar verwachting op 21 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above