Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by July 2028?
One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezione1a
PredictItVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione non verificatiRetail prediction exchange
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 66%
No 66%Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo di domanda
-
Volume 24h
—
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
6 mag 26, 15:18 UTC1 lug 28, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?
Manifold MarketsHow much progress will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact make by the 2028 election?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach it's quorum before 2035?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2028 popular vote margin of victory?
KalshiRegole
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact goes into effect by the End Date listed below.
The Compact shall be considered to have gone into effect if States (including the District of Columbia and any additional jurisdiction that will have electoral college votes in the 2028 Presidential Election) whose electoral college vote total is a majority of those that may be awarded in the 2028 Presidential Election enact legislation with the effect of awarding their statewide electoral votes to the winner of the national popular vote in presidential elections.
Committee votes, hearings, or reports, other procedural votes, and any subsequent litigation will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 06/30/2028 11:59 PM (ET)
The Compact shall be considered to have gone into effect if States (including the District of Columbia and any additional jurisdiction that will have electoral college votes in the 2028 Presidential Election) whose electoral college vote total is a majority of those that may be awarded in the 2028 Presidential Election enact legislation with the effect of awarding their statewide electoral votes to the winner of the national popular vote in presidential elections.
Committee votes, hearings, or reports, other procedural votes, and any subsequent litigation will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 06/30/2028 11:59 PM (ET)
