![[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FI-OuiKwJel.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D0dc496ea-e992-45f8-a7c7-b20361ad3d74&w=128&q=80)
[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
PoliticaCustomUS PoliticsElezione3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 79.4%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto7 nov 23, 14:31 UTC2 gen 30, 08:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3629/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves positively if at least five reliable media sources report that states representing at least half of Electoral College votes have signed the NPVIC before 2030.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
