[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
PoliticaCustomPolitica USAElezione3a
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Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto7 nov 23, 14:31 UTC2 gen 30, 08:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How much progress will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact make by the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by July 2028?
PredictItWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach it's quorum before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the needed 270 votes?
Manifold Markets2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
KalshiRegole
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3629/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves positively if at least five reliable media sources report that states representing at least half of Electoral College votes have signed the NPVIC before 2030.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
