KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeDemocratic by 9.0% or more 21%+2.0%In testa tra 20 esiti
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,6K €
Liquidità
22,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
18.0% / 21.0%
Spread
16.7%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
20 mag 26, 18:006 mag 29, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democratic by 9.0% or more21%
Trend del volume
$3.0k4 lug3g di dati8 lug
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If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The popular vote margin is calculated as (total votes for the winner minus total votes for second place) divided by total votes, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- The calculation uses the states' and DC's most recent certificates of ascertainment of presidential election results as of the date of the January joint session of Congress.
- If multiple certificates of ascertainment are sent to Congress for a state, the one Congress counts is used.
- If Congress rejects all certificates for a state, the most recently issued one is used.
- Votes cast for a candidate under multiple party nominations are aggregated.