KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Democratic by 9.0% or more · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Democratic by 9.0% or more 21.5%In testa tra 20 esiti
Democratic by 9.0% or more 21.5%Qualità del mercato
76 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
4,7K €
Open interest
115,2K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Democratic by 9.0% or moreSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 39 minuti fa
20 mag 26, 18:00 UTC8 gen 29, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 14s (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Democratic by 9.0% or more
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
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Manifold MarketsNZ Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Polymarket)
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketRegole
If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:United States Congress
- The popular vote margin is calculated as (total votes for the winner minus total votes for second place) divided by total votes, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. The calculation uses the states' and DC's most recent certificates of ascertainment of presidential election results as of the date of the January joint session of Congress. If multiple certificates of ascertainment are sent to Congress for a state, the one Congress counts is used. If Congress rejects all certificates for a state, the most recently issued one is used. Votes cast for a candidate under multiple party nominations are aggregated. If the winner changes party affiliation between the election and being sworn in, the market resolves based on their Election Day party. If no party wins the popular vote (exact tie at 0.00%), all markets resolve to No.
Regole per ogni esito
- Democratic by 9.0% or more
- If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%
- If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 7.00-7.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%
- If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 8.00-8.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%
- If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 2.00-2.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%
- If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 6.00-6.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%
- If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 5.00-5.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%
- If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 4.00-4.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%
- If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 3.00-3.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%
- If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1.00-1.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99%
- If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 0.01-0.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%
- If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 0.01-0.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 1.0% to 1.99%
- If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1.00-1.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 2.0% to 2.99%
- If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 2.00-2.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 3.0% to 3.99%
- If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 3.00-3.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 4.0% to 4.99%
- If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 4.00-4.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 6.0% to 6.99%
- If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 6.00-6.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 7.0% to 7.99%
- If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 7.00-7.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 9.0% or more
- If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 5.0% to 5.99%
- If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 5.00-5.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 8.0% to 8.99%
- If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 8.00-8.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.