PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Probabilità implicita attuale
August 31 91%+5.8pt
Qualita del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità media
Volume 24h
4,9K €
Liquidità
16,8K €
Liquidità media
Bid / Ask
88.5% / 93.2%
Spread
4.7 pt
Spread moderato
Comments
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 19:1031 ago 26, 23:59
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Moscow time.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow.
An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ukraine target Moscow by which date??
Polymarket quota August 31 al 91% al 23 agosto 2026.
Quando si risolve Will Ukraine target Moscow by which date??
Will Ukraine target Moscow by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 agosto 2026.
Come viene liquidato Will Ukraine target Moscow by which date??
Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Moscow time.