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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Middle East
  3. Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

5.0% (24h)One-OffMiddle East19g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
20+
20+ 22%-5.0%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato

73 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

18,1K €

Liquidità

89,4K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

20.0% / 23.0%

Spread

15.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-24.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

1 giu 26, 18:1530 giu 26, 16:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

20+22%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
  • Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
  • Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
  • This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
  • Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
  • Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
  • This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.