PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Probabilità implicita attuale
August 11 100%
In testa tra 21 esiti
Qualita del mercato
51 / 100
Qualità media
Volume 24h
10,7K €
Liquidità
54,5K €
Alta liquidità
Spread
34.0 pt
Spread ampio
Comments
0
Variazione 7g
+4.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
11 ago 26, 8:2031 ago 26, 20:59
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
August 11
100%
August 12
100%
August 16
100%
August 18
100%
August 19
100%
August 20
100%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv.
An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia target Kyiv on??
Polymarket quota August 11 al 100% al 23 agosto 2026.
Quando si risolve Will Russia target Kyiv on??
Will Russia target Kyiv on? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 agosto 2026.
Come viene liquidato Will Russia target Kyiv on??
Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time.