PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: August 31
Risolto: 5 ago 2026, 07:02
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attuale
August 31 100%+2.5ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
554,2 €
Liquidità
5,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 giorni fa
Obsoleto23 mar 26, 22:2930 apr 26, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
May 310%
July 313%
March 310%
April 300%
August 31100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Myrne, Donetsk Oblast, (48.367306° N, 37.007880° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.