PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoRegolato dal provider, mercato per mercato
Risolto: 1 set 2026, 23:53
Questo evento non ha un unico vincitore. Il provider ha regolato ogni mercato separatamente; ogni mercato mostra il proprio risultato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 2 set 2026, 13:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
September 30100%
September 30Vinta
October 31Vinta
May 31Persa
July 31Persa
February 28Persa
March 31Persa
April 30Persa
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.