PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 71%-1.0pt
Qualità del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
791,2 €
Liquidità
30,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
18.0% / 20.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
4
Variazione 7g
-1.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
21 mag 26, 17:42 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast, (48.589446° N, 37.831430° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Chasiv Yar will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 71% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date??
- Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast, (48.589446° N, 37.831430° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).