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Dati al 1 set 2026, 21:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
September 15 99%+43.0pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
28,4K €
Liquidità
71,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
98.2% / 99.7%
Spread
1.5 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto31 ago 26, 18:3730 set 26, 23:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Iran target Jordan by which date??
- Polymarket quota September 15 al 99% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Iran target Jordan by which date??
- Will Iran target Jordan by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Iran target Jordan by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.