PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 56%-3.5pt
Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
301,3 €
Liquidità
1,5K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
55.0% / 58.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
1
Variazione 7g
+2.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
13 gen 26, 23:09 UTC3 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWhat % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
- A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate.