Which of the Manifold rated Lean D senate races will Democrats win?
3.7 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezioni di metà mandato USA 2026Politica USAElezione14g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 20 ott 2026, 18:35 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeDemocrats win all 4 of Maine, Michigan, Texas and Ohio 47.1%+3.7ptIn testa tra 16 esiti
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+12.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto17 ott 26, 20:04 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES to the ONE correct answer, based on which races Democrats win of Maine, Ohio, Michigan and Texas for US Senate in 2026.
- As of Market Creation, Manifold currently rates these 4 races Lean D:
- [image]Check out the midterm map for more more midterm markets and to explore the map! https://manifold.markets/election?r=SmFjazE
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