PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Ohio (Special) 48%-5.0ptIn testa tra 16 esiti
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
32,9 €
Liquidità
104,1K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-23.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 20:06 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhat % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiRegole
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 1% or less.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
Mercati aperti
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which Senate races will be within 1%??
- Polymarket quota Ohio (Special) al 48% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which Senate races will be within 1%??
- Which Senate races will be within 1%? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which Senate races will be within 1%??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.