Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAlaska 45%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto15 gen 26, 19:45 UTC1 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Closeness will be defined as margin of victory.
- I chose these 5 because I think they will be the closest and I don't have enough mana to make more.
- I'm too lazy to write context, you know what elections are I assume.
- I set resolution date late because results took awhile in 2024 for senate I remember, idk I might change it.
